Aerosol particles act as cloud condensation and ice nuclei, so changes in aerosol loading alter cloud droplets, ice and, in the end, precipitation — sometimes raising it, sometimes lowering it. Using WRF coupled with bin microphysics schemes, I study these aerosol–cloud–precipitation interactions in idealized orographic clouds, in real cases, and with colleagues in deep convective systems.
Figure. Deep orographic convection averaged over t = 4–6 h in clean (CLN), control (CNT) and polluted (PLT) cases (Seo & Baik 2026, JMSJ).
Using WRF with bin microphysics over idealized mountains, I showed that the response of orographic precipitation to aerosol loading depends on mountain geometry. In warm, shallow clouds, aerosols change how long cloud droplets take to grow into raindrops, while the mountain shape sets how long they have before being carried over the crest (Seo et al. 2020). In deep mixed-phase convection, interactions between vigorous lower-layer clouds and upstream-extending upper-layer clouds enhance surface precipitation through melting and direct sedimentation of graupel and hail; over a symmetric mountain more aerosol enhances precipitation, while over asymmetric mountains the response changes with upslope steepness (Seo and Baik 2026).
Figure. Schematic for the autoconversion timescale τ* = (x* − x_LCL)/U and the sedimentation timescale τ_T = (x_T − x*)/U over a mountain; r* = 40 μm marks the boundary between cloud droplets and raindrops (Seo et al. 2020, JMSJ).
With colleagues, I examined a deep convective precipitation event over north central Mongolia, a high-altitude inland region, with bin microphysics and aerosol number concentrations of 150–4800 cm⁻³. Surface precipitation slightly decreases from 150 to 600 cm⁻³ but increases by 22% from 600 to 4800 cm⁻³, as more small drops freeze and feed snow growth through deposition and riming (Lkhamjav et al. 2018, APJAS). We also evaluated an improved quasi-stochastic collection model in precipitation prediction there (Lkhamjav et al. 2017, JGR).
Figure. Accumulated surface precipitation from 00 UTC 21 to 00 UTC 22 August 2014 for aerosol number concentrations N₀ = 150, 300, 600, 1200, 2400 and 4800 cm⁻³ (Lkhamjav et al. 2018).
Seo, J. M., and J.-J. Baik (2026). How mountain geometry affects aerosol-cloud-precipitation interactions: Part II. Deep convective clouds. Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan, 104, 3. doi:10.1007/s44394-025-00006-z
Seo, J. M., H. Lee, S. Moon, and J.-J. Baik (2020). How mountain geometry affects aerosol-cloud-precipitation interactions: Part I. Shallow convective clouds. Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan, 98, 43–60. doi:10.2151/jmsj.2020-003
Lkhamjav, J., H. Lee, Y.-L. Jeon, J. M. Seo, and J.-J. Baik (2018). Impacts of aerosol loading on surface precipitation from mid-latitude deep convective systems over north central Mongolia. Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 54, 587–598. doi:10.1007/s13143-018-0080-5
Lkhamjav, J., Y.-L. Jeon, H. Lee, J.-J. Baik, and J. M. Seo (2017). Evaluation of an improved quasi-stochastic collection model through precipitation prediction over north central Mongolia. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 122, 13404–13419. doi:10.1002/2017JD027205
In preparation: a real-case WRF bin-microphysics study of aerosol effects on orographic precipitation over the Taebaek Mountains.
Talk · Aerosol effects on nonlinear modification of orographically and convectively forced gravity-wave momentum fluxes · 16th Int. Conf. on Mesoscale Convective Systems 2024; KMS 2019
Talk · Future clouds and precipitation · invited, Gongju National University of Education 2019
Talk · Mountain geometry and aerosol effects on orographic precipitation · invited, Gangwon Regional Office of Meteorology 2018
Poster · Mountain shape and aerosol loading effects on the orographic precipitation from shallow-warm convective clouds · 15th Conference on Cloud Physics 2018
Talk · How mountain steepness modulates aerosol effects on orographic precipitation from deep mixed-phase clouds · KMS 2018
Talk · How mountain steepness modulates aerosol effects on orographic precipitation from shallow, warm clouds: WRF-bin simulation · KMS 2017
Talk · Evaluation of an improved quasi-stochastic collection model through precipitation prediction over north central Mongolia · KMS 2017 (Lkhamjav et al.)